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May 2006 

As An Investment, How Risky is Video Poker by Bob Dancer

 

I have money invested in the stock market. There have been good  years and bad, but historically the stock market has been a good  place for your money if you kept it there for a lengthy period of  time. I can’t tell you if the market will be higher in 2006 than in  2005, but I’m betting a large amount of money that it’s higher in  2015 than it is in 2005. I’m still young enough (I’m 59 currently)  that my investment horizon is considerably longer than 10 years.

I also “invest” in playing video poker. I look at every dollar I bet  as one dollar working for me. My “investment strategy” is to choose  games that return over 100% when you include the slot club benefits,  learn to play them computer-perfectly, and then to play when the  casinos give me most to do so. This is a strategy that has worked  well for me — although my daily scores go up and down. In fact, a  plotting of my daily video poker scores would look very similar to a  plotting of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

I believe that investing in the intelligent playing of video poker  is a far safer and less risky course than investing in the stock  market. At least for me.

This is opposite to common sense. Certainly if you were told that  the manager of your pension fund went to Vegas regularly to “invest”  this money by playing video poker, you would be mortified. This  sounds like the opposite of responsible financial investing. And for  most people it is.

Except, note the way I’m suggesting to play. Only play when you have  the advantage (few people religiously limit themselves to this).  Learn to play very close to perfectly (even fewer). Know the slot  clubs inside out and do most of your playing during promotions of one  kind or another.

Investing the way I suggest in the previous paragraph is an  intelligent, conservative approach. Follow those rules and you WILL  succeed. You can even predict how much you will make in a year with a  reasonable degree of accuracy.

This is a labor-intensive way to invest. In many ways it is like a  job. Investing in video poker requires many hours of time — both in  study and other preparation and the actual time in the casino.  Intelligent investing in the stock market involves considerable  effort selecting which stocks or mutual funds to buy and when, but  once you have done it, you can spend your time doing other things  while the market works for you.

Also, intelligent investing in video poker is only possible for  relatively small stakes. If you have $10 million to invest, there are  no profitable opportunities as a player to invest that much that I  have ever heard about. Perhaps there are some, but I would be  surprised. Frequently players who take several hundred thousand  dollars or more out of a given casino will find themselves unwelcome.  With the interlocking-ownership among casinos these days, becoming  unwelcome at one casino can translate into becoming unwelcome at  several.

For a quarter million dollars or less, however, video poker  opportunities abound. There are at least a few dozen players with  this size bankroll who are clearing $50,000 or more year after year —  sometimes more. If you look at $50,000 as a return on $250,000, it  equates to 20% and sounds pretty good. If you look at $50,000 as a  year’s earning, then it is an okay job. Not exceptionally high, by  any means, but better than many people can earn working in more  conventional jobs. If you believe, as I do, that part of the $50,000  represents a return on investment and part of it represents “wages,”  then earning $50,000 is a rather small total return. But it comes  with some fringe benefits that some of us appreciate, such as we get  to be our own bosses and never having to stand in line at  restaurants. Plus, for many of us, winning in a casino gives us  psychological benefits as well. Money won is much sweeter than money  earned via a regular job.

Most people, of course, do not have $250,000 to “invest” in video  poker or the stock market. That’s understandable. The same principles  work if you have $1,000. Learn how to play the loosest games well and  limit yourself to them. Learn about casino promotions and carefully  choose where and when you play. If the combination of (game plus slot  club plus promotions) isn’t good enough to offer you the advantage,  everything considered, refuse to play. Follow this procedure, and you  will succeed.

  • Bob Dancer is America’s best-known video poker writer and teacher.  He has a variety of “how to play better video poker” products,  including Winner’s Guides, strategy cards, videos, and the award- winning computer software, Bob Dancer Presents WinPoker, his  autobiography Million Dollar Video Poker, and his recent novel, Sex,  Lies, and Video Poker. Dancer’s products may be ordered at  www.bobdancer.com.

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